Local spatial modeling of white-tailed deer distribution

Author(s):

Haijin Shi, Edward J. Laurent, Joseph LeBouton, Laila Racevskis, Kim Hall, Michael Donovan, Robert V. Doepker, Michael Walters, Frank Lupi, Jianguo Liu

Journal or Book Title: Ecological Modelling

Keywords: Geographically weighted regression; Ordinary linear-squares regression; White-tailed deer; Spatial heterogeneity; Climate; Patch metrics; Landscape metrics; Geographic information systems

Volume/Issue: 190

Page Number(s): 171-189

Year Published: 2006

Abstract:

Complex spatial heterogeneity of ecological systems is difficult to capture and interpret using global models alone. For this reason, recent attention has been paid to local spatial modeling techniques.We used one local modeling approach, geographically weighted regression (GWR), to investigate the effects of local spatial heterogeneity on multivariate relationships of white-tailed deer distribution using land cover patch metrics and climate factors. The results of these analyses quantify differences in the contributions of model parameters to estimates of deer density over space. A GWR model with local kernel bandwidth was compared to a GWR model with global kernel bandwidth and an ordinary least-squares regression (OLS) model with the same parameters to evaluate their relative abilities in modeling deer distributions. The results indicated that the GWR models predicted deer density better than the traditional ordinary least-squares model and also provided useful information regarding local environmental processes affecting deer distribution. GWR model comparisons showed that the local kernel bandwidth GWR model was more realistic than the global kernel bandwidth GWR model, as the latter exaggerated local spatial variation. The parameter estimates and model statistics (e.g., model R2) of the GWR models were mapped using geographic information systems (GIS) to illustrate local spatial variation in the regression relationship and to identify causes of large-scale model misspecifications and low estimation efficiencies.

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.04.007

Type of Publication: Journal Article

Publisher: Elsevier

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